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Sorry Bingley I don't quite get it, unless they don't expect the death rate to be as large as first estimated
When the beast from the east was here 50000 people died of flu in England and Wales partly due to using the wrong flu vaccine and an extended winter
"It's only the thought that matters"
 

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May I politely suggest that you uses a myriad of sources, in much the same way you would request a few estimates for installing, say a kitchen, pop top or suchlike. You’d then have a more complete picture of the current situation. 😷
 

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Bingley if you want to know more about corona virus try this site livescience.com it may not tell you why it's been down graded but some interesting reading about it and other deadlier deceases just don't have nightmares
"It's only the reading that matters"
 
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